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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 95th percentile, compiling a monstrous 24.1 points per game since the start of last season.
  • DeMar DeRozan has converted 60.0% of his field goals while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 38.3 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • As it relates to offense, the Kings's terrific 120.4 points per game places 5th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Heat, creating a favorable matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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