DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:45 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 95th percentile, compiling a monstrous 24.1 points per game since the start of last season.
DeMar DeRozan has converted 60.0% of his field goals while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 38.3 minutes per game on the road this year.
As it relates to offense, the Kings's terrific 120.4 points per game places 5th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Heat, creating a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.