DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 23.9 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.
DeMar DeRozan has played 38.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
When it comes to scoring, the Kings's superb 116.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have shot 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has converted 29.2% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.6 foul shot attempts per game without the home court advantage rates 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
DeMar DeRozan will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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