DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan places in the 100th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 37.8 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 47.7% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, creating a strong matchup.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan has attempted 9.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has sunk 16.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.8% lower than he's made overall this year.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.
The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 4.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (8th-least in the league).

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