DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's totaled overall this year.
DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
In regard to shooting, the Chicago Bulls's outstanding 49.2% field goal percentage away from home ranks 8th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Orlando Magic are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 10th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (49.9%).
DeMar DeRozan has attempted 9.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 17.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 11.3% lower than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Magic).
The Bulls have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan is expected to experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.