DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has tallied 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
DeMar DeRozan has sunk 53.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year away from home.
Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.7 minutes per game this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Bulls have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a hard one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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