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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 94th percentile, posting a massive 22.9 points per game away from home this year.

DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year without the home court advantage.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 37.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.

The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should increase plays for the Chicago Bulls.

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 8.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 2.5 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a difficult matchup.

The slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.

The Bulls have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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