DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan registers in the 91st percentile, compiling an enormous 21.2 points per game when playing away from home this year.
DeMar DeRozan has converted 66.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 37.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season without the home court advantage.
Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 37.6 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on shots from the field (21st-best in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
While at home, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Bulls have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
DeMar DeRozan is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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