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DeMar DeRozan
NBA · Player Props
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · Chicago Bulls
Points
Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 14, 2023 Updated Dec 15, 2023 12:59 AM EST
NBA Props DeMar DeRozan Points

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • DeMar DeRozan has played 34.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.5 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup.
  • The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).
  • The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Favors Under
  • DeMar DeRozan has made a lowly 40.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly less than his 50.7 rate last year.
  • In comparison to last season's 22.5% rate, DeMar DeRozan's 3-point efficiency has been reduced this season to 12.1%.
  • DeMar DeRozan has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
  • The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 38.3% on 3-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a positive matchup.
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