DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has converted 42.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 17.1% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
DeMar DeRozan has played 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 10 games (17.2).
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Bulls.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has attempted a lowly 17.6 shots per game this year, significantly less than his 20.1 mark last year.
DeMar DeRozan has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. Dillon Brooks is a challenging one for three-pointers; when defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have sunk just 30.3% of their 3-pointers (7th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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