DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 10:25 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 23.8 shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
DeMar DeRozan has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (16.0).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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