DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has scored 25.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.
DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
DeMar DeRozan has attempted 7.7 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has made 19.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc away from home this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Isaac Okoro is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when Okoro is on his home court and defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 4.7 treys per game (19th percentile).
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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