DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has scored 32.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's scored overall this year.
DeMar DeRozan has tallied 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing squads have averaged the 3rd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (40.0).
DeMar DeRozan will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has sunk a measly 18.3% of his shots from downtown this season, a sizeable decrease from his 35.4 mark last season.
DeMar DeRozan has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
Without the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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