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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

DeMar DeRozan Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 38.3 minutes per game on the road this year.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Kings's stellar 14.2 converted threes per game rates 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.5 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a positive one for three-pointers; when matched up against opposing starting SFs since the start of last season, they have converted a monstrous 35.4% of their shots from downtown (81st percentile).

The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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