DeMar DeRozan Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 3:22 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 5.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 93rd percentile.
Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 100th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 38.0 minutes per game this year.
The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan should see an increase in performance for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bulls.

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