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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 5.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 93rd percentile.
  • Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 100th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 38.0 minutes per game this year.
  • The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan should see an increase in performance for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
  • The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bulls.

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