Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 27, 2025 9:30 PM EST

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has compiled 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's compiled in all games this year.
Dejounte Murray has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Dejounte Murray has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Pelicans's lackluster 105.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have put up 17.1 points per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are at home (5th-least in the NBA).
Dejounte Murray figures to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.