Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has made 51.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.9).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has successfully made 19.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, -11.9% less than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Dejounte Murray has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (94th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.