Dejounte Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has attempted 5.3 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Dejounte Murray has played 35.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against Chicago is a favorable one for threes; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (93rd percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.
With the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.