Dejounte Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Dejounte Murray will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Dejounte Murray has compiled a measly 5.0 assists per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.1 assists per game last season.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).