Dejounte Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Dejounte Murray

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has averaged 7.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 14thbest in in the NBA on the road with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray will likely suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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