De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
De'Andre Hunter has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
De'Andre Hunter should see a spike in performance across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Hawks.
The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).

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