De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has compiled 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.7 more than he's compiled in all games this year at home.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
De'Andre Hunter has made 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Hawks's subpar 34.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 4th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

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