De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has attempted 20.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for field goals; when the Miami Heat are at home, their opposition has compiled the highest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (51.0%).
The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

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