De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Favors Under

This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 6th-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (38.3%).
The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted a massive 25.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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