De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 6.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA on their home court this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 14thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.
De'Andre Hunter has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.7% higher than he's made in all games this season away from home.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 fouls per game last season.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.5% on field goals (11th-weakest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, creating a hard matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
While playing on the road, the Cavaliers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
De'Andre Hunter will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.