De'Andre Hunter Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has posted 15.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 81st percentile.
De'Andre Hunter has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
The Jazz have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Jazz is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.4).
At home, the Jazz have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.0 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).