De'Andre Hunter Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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De'Andre Hunter

NBA · Player Props

De'Andre Hunter

F-G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

De'Andre Hunter Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Andre Hunter has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Andre Hunter has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
De'Andre Hunter will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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