Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has compiled an impressive 9.0 defensive boards per game this year, significantly higher than his 7.3 defensive boards per game last year.
Deandre Ayton has played 30.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has brought down 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Suns (saving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Deandre Ayton stands to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats considering playing away from hom in this matchup.

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