Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has put up an impressive 9.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.3 defensive rebounds per game last year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 6 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton places in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
Deandre Ayton stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

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