Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 5:31 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has totaled 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Deandre Ayton has averaged 29.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to more plays for the Suns.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production across the board.

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