Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has sunk 8.3 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this season.
Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for scoring; the other team has posted the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.8%).
The matchup with Nikola Jokic ranks in just the 83rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs nailing a whopping 6.3 baskets per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 101.8 points per game comes in as the lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have shot 42.2% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, branding this as a positive matchup.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

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