Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 53.6% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Deandre Ayton has averaged 30.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Deandre Ayton has tallied a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the other team has put up the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (44.4%).
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (2.3 per game) when playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (89th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 6th percentile for shot attempts from downtown on the road, compiling 0.0 per game this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.6 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have captured 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Rockets (preserving possessions that can bring about more chances for offense).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a whopping 26.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-most in the NBA).
Deandre Ayton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.