Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has attempted 14.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.6 minutes per game this year.
In comparison to last year's 0.1 rate, Deandre Ayton's technical fouls have diminished this year to 0.0 per game.
The rate of three-pointers made against Anthony Davis has been quite high (43.4%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The 8th-quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 107.5 points per game rates weakest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (preserving possessions that can generate more chances for offense).
The faceoff with Anthony Davis as it relates to getting to the foul line comes in at the 4th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting just 1.8 foul shots per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
Deandre Ayton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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