Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.2%).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
While playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted a massive 25.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the NBA).

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