Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has attempted 15.5 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.0).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (11th-least in the league).