Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has sunk 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field away from his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Deandre Ayton has successfully made 41.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Deandre Ayton has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Chicago is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Bulls have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.1%).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Chicago may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Bulls are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA).
Deandre Ayton will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.