Deandre Ayton Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.7 minutes per game this year.
Deandre Ayton has committed just 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
The Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.
While on their home court, the Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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