Deandre Ayton Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-172/+133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -169 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -172.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.
The Nuggets have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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