Deandre Ayton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 10:25 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).