De'Aaron Fox Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 9:15 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Kings.
The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
With the home court advantage, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
De'Aaron Fox will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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