De'Aaron Fox Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has totaled an impressive 4.0 defensive boards per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.7 defensive boards per game last season.
Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.5 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Kings will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year.
At home, the Pelicans have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
De'Aaron Fox ought to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this matchup.

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