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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has compiled 3.7 defensive boards per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 33.5 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Kings are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the NBA with 10.7 offensive boards per game over the last 6 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

While at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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