De'Aaron Fox Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 10, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has put up 1.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's put up overall this year.
De'Aaron Fox has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
De'Aaron Fox will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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