De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 12, 2026

Updated May 12, 2026 7:48 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has put up 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games playing at home, 3.9 more than he's put up overall this season at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should raise opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%).
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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