De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 6, 2026

Updated May 6, 2026 8:48 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+152/-183).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has logged 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games playing at home, 3.9 more than he's logged overall this season at home.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to 3-point attempts.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (worst in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

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