De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 4, 2026

Updated May 4, 2026 9:33 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+158/-191).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -323 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -191.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In regard to three-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, designating this as a hard matchup.
The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

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