De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 12, 2026

Updated Apr 12, 2026 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+114/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has totaled 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games on his home court, 3.7 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home.
The Spurs are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making this a tough matchup.

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