De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 10, 2026

Updated Apr 10, 2026 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games while on his home court, 3.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 5th-best in in the league at home with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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