De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2026

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 8, 2026

Updated Apr 9, 2026 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-257/+233).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -233 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -257.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has put up 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games at home, 3.9 higher than he's put up overall this season at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.5 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.8%).
The 8th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Spurs.

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