De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 5.4 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots from behind the three-point arc have increased this season to 7.8 per game.
De'Aaron Fox has averaged 35.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
As it relates to shooting, the Kings's excellent 122.6 points per game with the home court advantage places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 48.4% on threes (30th-highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has failed to convert 11.1 field goals per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 9.3 rate last season.
The Kings rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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