De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 8:53 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.4 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
The 2nd-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (28th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has missed 11.0 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 9.3 rate last year.
De'Aaron Fox has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.